How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barcelona W, at 79.9%. The other outcomes represent 20.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.9% · Draw: 13.1% · Away win: 7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barcelona W 2404; Granada 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División Femenina · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 18:30
Barcelona W
Elo 2404
3
-
0
Granada
Elo 1575
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+829
Elo rating comparison
Barcelona W2404
Granada1575
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Barcelona W
—Draws
—Granada
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
Draw
13%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance 1X
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
97%
No
3%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
25%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.