How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Novorizontino, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.4% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 38.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atletico Goianiense 1796; Novorizontino 1913. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie B · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 19:30
Atletico Goianiense
Elo 1796
0
-
1
Novorizontino
Elo 1913
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-116
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Atletico Goianiense1796
Novorizontino1913
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Atletico Goianiense
0Draws
2Novorizontino
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
28%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
55%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.