How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Porto, at 62.8%. The other outcomes represent 37.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 15% · Draw: 22.2% · Away win: 62.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: GIL Vicente 1832; FC Porto 2153. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primeira Liga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 19:30
GIL Vicente
Elo 1832
0
-
1
FC Porto
Elo 2153
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-321
Elo rating comparison
GIL Vicente1832
FC Porto2153
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—GIL Vicente
—Draws
—FC Porto
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
15%
@ 7.57
Draw
22%
@ 4.28
Away
63%
@ 1.43
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
@ 1.09
No
13%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
17%
@ 6.87
Draw
46%
@ 2.27
Away
37%
@ 1.94
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.36
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
@ 1.28
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.