How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Pilar, at 50.8%. The other outcomes represent 49.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.8% · Draw: 31.4% · Away win: 17.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Pilar 1545; Liniers 1464. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 22:00
Real Pilar
Elo 1545
2
-
1
Liniers
Elo 1464
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+81
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Real Pilar1545
Liniers1464
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Real Pilar
0Draws
0Liniers
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
31%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
51%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.