How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is UAI Urquiza, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.9% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 34.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: UAI Urquiza 1421; Villa San Carlos 1504. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B Metropolitana · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 18:00
UAI Urquiza
Elo 1421
2
-
0
Villa San Carlos
Elo 1504
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-84
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
UAI Urquiza1421
Villa San Carlos1504
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0UAI Urquiza
2Draws
0Villa San Carlos
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
27%
Away
34%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
47%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.