How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Envigado, at 38.5%. The other outcomes represent 61.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.1% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 38.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Patriotas 1378; Envigado 1489. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 20:30
Patriotas
Elo 1378
0
-
2
Envigado
Elo 1489
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
-111
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Patriotas1378
Envigado1489
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Patriotas
0Draws
1Envigado
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
28%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
50%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.