How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Louisville City, at 45.0%. The other outcomes represent 55.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Louisville City 1756; Detroit City 1673. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 23:00
Louisville City
Elo 1756
0
-
0
Detroit City
Elo 1673
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (7)
0H
6D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Louisville City1756
Detroit City1673
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Louisville City
6Draws
1Detroit City
7 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
28%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
42%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.