How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Naples, at 37.2%. The other outcomes represent 62.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.2% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 35%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Naples 1488; Spokane Velocity 1610. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL League One · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 23:00
Naples
Elo 1488
1
-
0
Spokane Velocity
Elo 1610
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-122
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Naples1488
Spokane Velocity1610
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Naples
0Draws
1Spokane Velocity
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
28%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
41%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.