How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Broki, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 45.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Flora 1422; Broki 1562. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Eerste Divisie · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 23:00
Flora
Elo 1422
0
-
0
Broki
Elo 1562
FT
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-139
H2H (12)
1H
4D
7A
Elo rating comparison
Flora1422
Broki1562
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Flora
4Draws
7Broki
12 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
25%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
33%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.