How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Melbourne Victory W, at 36.4%. The other outcomes represent 63.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.3% · Draw: 29.3% · Away win: 36.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Wellington Phoenix W 1543; Melbourne Victory W 1623. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
A-League Women · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 23:15
Wellington Phoenix W
Elo 1543
1
-
1
Melbourne Victory W
Elo 1623
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-80
Elo rating comparison
Wellington Phoenix W1543
Melbourne Victory W1623
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Wellington Phoenix W
—Draws
—Melbourne Victory W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
Draw
29%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.