How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Cincinnati, at 50.7%. The other outcomes represent 49.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.1% · Draw: 21.2% · Away win: 50.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: DC United 1515; FC Cincinnati 1664. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Major League Soccer · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 23:30
DC United
Elo 1515
0
-
2
FC Cincinnati
Elo 1664
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-148
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
DC United1515
FC Cincinnati1664
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0DC United
0Draws
4FC Cincinnati
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
21%
Away
51%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
Draw
38%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.