How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is El Paso Locomotive, at 41.6%. The other outcomes represent 58.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.6% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 31.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: El Paso Locomotive 1610; New Mexico United 1632. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 00:00
El Paso Locomotive
Elo 1610
0
-
1
New Mexico United
Elo 1632
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-22
H2H (4)
1H
1D
2A
Elo rating comparison
El Paso Locomotive1610
New Mexico United1632
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1El Paso Locomotive
1Draws
2New Mexico United
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
27%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.