Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira

Primera A · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 00:15

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Once Caldas, at 65.3%. The other outcomes represent 34.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 65.3% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 11%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Once Caldas 1700; Deportivo Pereira 1490. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Primera A · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 00:15
Once Caldas
Elo 1700
1 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
Elo 1490
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Away Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Elo Advantage
+211
H2H (2)
0H 2D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Once Caldas1700
Deportivo Pereira1490

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Once Caldas
2Draws
0Deportivo Pereira

2 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
65% conf. WRONG
Home
65%
Draw
24%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf. CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf. CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
66% conf. WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf. CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
49%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf. CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf. WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf. WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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