San Antonio vs Orange County SC

USL Championship · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 00:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is San Antonio, at 48.6%. The other outcomes represent 51.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 48.6% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 26.7%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: San Antonio 1585; Orange County SC 1471. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

USL Championship · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 00:30
San Antonio
Elo 1585
2 - 1
Orange County SC
Elo 1471
FT HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
+115
H2H (1)
0H 0D 1A

Elo rating comparison

San Antonio1585
Orange County SC1471

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0San Antonio
0Draws
1Orange County SC

1 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf. CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf. CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf. CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
36%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf. CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf. CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf. CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.