Angel City W vs Bay FC

NWSL Women · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 00:45

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Angel City W, at 56.3%. The other outcomes represent 43.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 56.3% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 20.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Angel City W 1616; Bay FC 1417. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

NWSL Women · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 00:45
Angel City W
Elo 1616
2 - 0
Bay FC
Elo 1417
FT HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W 2D 0L
Away Form (5)
0W 3D 2L
Elo Advantage
+200
H2H (1)
1H 0D 0A

Elo rating comparison

Angel City W1616
Bay FC1417

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

1Angel City W
0Draws
0Bay FC

1 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
56% conf. CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
23%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf. WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
41%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf. WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf. WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?

No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.