How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mineros de Zacatecas, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 25.9% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mineros de Zacatecas 1518; Leones Negros UDG 1556. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 00:00
Mineros de Zacatecas
Elo 1518
0
-
2
Leones Negros UDG
Elo 1556
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-38
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Mineros de Zacatecas1518
Leones Negros UDG1556
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Mineros de Zacatecas
0Draws
0Leones Negros UDG
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
40%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.