How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alianza, at 47.0%. The other outcomes represent 53.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 26.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alianza 1634; Isidro Metapán 1602. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Division · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 21:00
Alianza
Elo 1634
1
-
0
Isidro Metapán
Elo 1602
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+32
H2H (8)
2H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Alianza1634
Isidro Metapán1602
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Alianza
4Draws
2Isidro Metapán
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
44%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.