How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Omiya Ardija Ventus W, at 43.4%. The other outcomes represent 56.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.4% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 33.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Omiya Ardija Ventus W 1394; Cerezo Osaka W 1409. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
WE League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 04:00
Omiya Ardija Ventus W
Elo 1394
1
-
2
Cerezo Osaka W
Elo 1409
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-15
Elo rating comparison
Omiya Ardija Ventus W1394
Cerezo Osaka W1409
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Omiya Ardija Ventus W
—Draws
—Cerezo Osaka W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
23%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
42%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.