How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vegalta Sendai, at 48.3%. The other outcomes represent 51.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.1% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 48.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Albirex Niigata 1563; Vegalta Sendai 1726. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 05:00
Albirex Niigata
Elo 1563
2
-
1
Vegalta Sendai
Elo 1726
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-162
Elo rating comparison
Albirex Niigata1563
Vegalta Sendai1726
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Albirex Niigata
—Draws
—Vegalta Sendai
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
22%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
39%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.