How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sagan Tosu, at 52.2%. The other outcomes represent 47.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.2% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 22.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sagan Tosu 1609; Vanraure Hachinohe 1493. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J2 League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 05:00
Sagan Tosu
Elo 1609
2
-
0
Vanraure Hachinohe
Elo 1493
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+116
Elo rating comparison
Sagan Tosu1609
Vanraure Hachinohe1493
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sagan Tosu
—Draws
—Vanraure Hachinohe
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
Draw
26%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
43%
Away
16%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.