How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cerezo Osaka, at 61.0%. The other outcomes represent 39.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 20.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cerezo Osaka 1816; JEF United Chiba 1596. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
J1 League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 06:00
Cerezo Osaka
Elo 1816
2
-
2
JEF United Chiba
Elo 1596
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+219
Elo rating comparison
Cerezo Osaka1816
JEF United Chiba1596
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cerezo Osaka
—Draws
—JEF United Chiba
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
61%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
35%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.