How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mamelodi Sundowns U23, at 78.3%. The other outcomes represent 21.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 78.3% · Draw: 13.1% · Away win: 8.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 1778; Chippa United U23 1231. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 08:00
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Elo 1778
3
-
0
Chippa United U23
Elo 1231
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+547
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Mamelodi Sundowns U231778
Chippa United U231231
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Mamelodi Sundowns U23
0Draws
0Chippa United U23
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
CORRECT
Home
78%
Draw
13%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Half-Time Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
65%
Draw
25%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.