How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Malženice, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.9% · Draw: 24.7% · Away win: 36.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Malženice 1655; Zlaté Moravce 1756. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. liga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 09:30
Malženice
Elo 1655
3
-
0
Zlaté Moravce
Elo 1756
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-102
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Malženice1655
Zlaté Moravce1756
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Malženice
0Draws
0Zlaté Moravce
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
37%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.