How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yelimay Semey, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26.7% · Draw: 24.8% · Away win: 48.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Altay 1590; Yelimay Semey 1767. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 10:00
Altay
Elo 1590
2
-
2
Yelimay Semey
Elo 1767
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-177
H2H (1)
0H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Altay1590
Yelimay Semey1767
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Altay
1Draws
0Yelimay Semey
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
25%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
40%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.