How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Santurtzi, at 63.4%. The other outcomes represent 36.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63.4% · Draw: 19.1% · Away win: 17.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Santurtzi 1413; Amurrio Club 1363. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 10:15
Santurtzi
Elo 1413
2
-
1
Amurrio Club
Elo 1363
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+50
Elo rating comparison
Santurtzi1413
Amurrio Club1363
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Santurtzi
—Draws
—Amurrio Club
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
Draw
19%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
40%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.