How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Rostov, at 44.7%. The other outcomes represent 55.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.7% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Rostov 1825; Lokomotiv 1897. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 10:45
FC Rostov
Elo 1825
2
-
0
Lokomotiv
Elo 1897
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-72
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FC Rostov1825
Lokomotiv1897
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FC Rostov
0Draws
0Lokomotiv
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
@ 2.59
Draw
27%
@ 3.48
Away
29%
@ 2.82
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.75
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.48
No
41%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.55
No
36%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
@ 3.12
Draw
48%
@ 2.11
Away
30%
@ 3.42
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.39
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.29
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 2.05
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.