How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Conquense, at 36.1%. The other outcomes represent 63.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.8% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 36.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Madrid III 1617; Conquense 1718. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Real Madrid III
Elo 1617
0
-
2
Conquense
Elo 1718
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-100
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Real Madrid III1617
Conquense1718
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Real Madrid III
0Draws
2Conquense
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
29%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
40%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.