How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Union Berlin U19, at 55.8%. The other outcomes represent 44.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.8% · Draw: 17.3% · Away win: 26.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union Berlin U19 1760; Energie Cottbus U19 1688. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Union Berlin U19
Elo 1760
5
-
3
Energie Cottbus U19
Elo 1688
FT
HT 3-3
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+72
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Union Berlin U191760
Energie Cottbus U191688
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Union Berlin U19
0Draws
0Energie Cottbus U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
Draw
17%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
37%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.