How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Condal, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.2% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 35%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Condal 1396; Ceares 1423. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Condal
Elo 1396
0
-
0
Ceares
Elo 1423
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-27
Elo rating comparison
Condal1396
Ceares1423
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Condal
—Draws
—Ceares
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
24%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
38%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.