How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Montañesa, at 50.7%. The other outcomes represent 49.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.7% · Draw: 23.4% · Away win: 25.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Montañesa 1495; Vilassar Mar 1411. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:00
Montañesa
Elo 1495
2
-
2
Vilassar Mar
Elo 1411
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Montañesa1495
Vilassar Mar1411
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Montañesa
0Draws
0Vilassar Mar
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.