How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ural II, at 45.6%. The other outcomes represent 54.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.6% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 27.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ural II 1287; Chelyabinsk II 1294. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 4 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 08:00
Ural II
Elo 1287
1
-
0
Chelyabinsk II
Elo 1294
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
-7
H2H (8)
0H
4D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Ural II1287
Chelyabinsk II1294
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ural II
4Draws
4Chelyabinsk II
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
47%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.