How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Home United, at 77.9%. The other outcomes represent 22.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.9% · Draw: 12.3% · Away win: 9.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Home United 1850; Tanjong Pagar 1230. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 11:30
Home United
Elo 1850
6
-
0
Tanjong Pagar
Elo 1230
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+620
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Home United1850
Tanjong Pagar1230
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Home United
0Draws
0Tanjong Pagar
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
CORRECT
Home
78%
Draw
12%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
29%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.