How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Celtic, at 63.7%. The other outcomes represent 36.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.9% · Draw: 15.4% · Away win: 63.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hibernian 1899; Celtic 2063. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Premiership · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Hibernian
Elo 1899
1
-
2
Celtic
Elo 2063
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-164
H2H (3)
1H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Hibernian1899
Celtic2063
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Hibernian
0Draws
2Celtic
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
@ 4.46
Draw
15%
@ 4.01
Away
64%
@ 1.68
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.66
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.19
No
22%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
@ 4.64
Draw
41%
@ 2.35
Away
39%
@ 2.20
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.30
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.19
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.66
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.