How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Greuther Fürth U19, at 49.5%. The other outcomes represent 50.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.5% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Greuther Fürth U19 1409; Erzgebirge Aue U19 1397. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Greuther Fürth U19
Elo 1409
6
-
1
Erzgebirge Aue U19
Elo 1397
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+12
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Greuther Fürth U191409
Erzgebirge Aue U191397
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Greuther Fürth U19
0Draws
0Erzgebirge Aue U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
21%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
39%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.