How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chelsea W, at 68.3%. The other outcomes represent 31.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.8% · Draw: 13.9% · Away win: 68.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Crystal Palace W 1656; Chelsea W 2218. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FA WSL · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Crystal Palace W
Elo 1656
1
-
3
Chelsea W
Elo 2218
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
-562
Elo rating comparison
Crystal Palace W1656
Chelsea W2218
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Crystal Palace W
—Draws
—Chelsea W
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
14%
Away
68%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance X2
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
17%
Draw
25%
Away
58%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.