How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kalju Nomme, at 42.1%. The other outcomes represent 57.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.1% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 35.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kalju Nomme 1864; Flora Tallinn 1873. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Meistriliiga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:30
Kalju Nomme
Elo 1864
2
-
1
Flora Tallinn
Elo 1873
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-9
H2H (8)
2H
0D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Kalju Nomme1864
Flora Tallinn1873
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Kalju Nomme
0Draws
6Flora Tallinn
8 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
23%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
42%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.