How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Be Forward Wanderers, at 61.1%. The other outcomes represent 38.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 21.3% · Draw: 17.6% · Away win: 61.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Karonga United 1532; Be Forward Wanderers 1791. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Karonga United
Elo 1532
1
-
1
Be Forward Wanderers
Elo 1791
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-259
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Karonga United1532
Be Forward Wanderers1791
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Karonga United
0Draws
2Be Forward Wanderers
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
38%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.