Paykan vs Malavan

Persian Gulf Pro League · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 12:30

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paykan, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 42.7% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 29.8%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Paykan 1641; Malavan 1698. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Persian Gulf Pro League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 12:30
Paykan
Elo 1641
1 - 1
Malavan
Elo 1698
FT HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Away Form (5)
1W 3D 1L
Elo Advantage
-57

Elo rating comparison

Paykan1641
Malavan1698

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Paykan
—Draws
—Malavan

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
27%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf. CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
45% conf. CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
45%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf. WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf. CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
70% conf. WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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