How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Athletic Club, at 62.5%. The other outcomes represent 37.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.5% · Draw: 18.1% · Away win: 19.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Athletic Club 1957; Getafe 1900. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Athletic Club
Elo 1957
4
-
0
Getafe
Elo 1900
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+58
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Athletic Club1957
Getafe1900
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Athletic Club
0Draws
2Getafe
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
CORRECT
Home
63%
@ 1.64
Draw
18%
@ 3.80
Away
19%
@ 5.24
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.15
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
@ 2.22
Draw
36%
@ 2.12
Away
16%
@ 5.79
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.43
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.38
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.