TSB Flensburg vs VfR Neumünster

Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Sunday, 25 Oct 2026 · 13:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is TSB Flensburg, at 42.5%. The other outcomes represent 57.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 42.5% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 34.8%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: TSB Flensburg 1553; VfR Neumünster 1633. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 2–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Sunday, Oct 25 2026 · 13:00
TSB Flensburg
Elo 1553
2 - 3
VfR Neumünster
Elo 1633
FT HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Away Form (5)
3W 1D 1L
Elo Advantage
-80

Elo rating comparison

TSB Flensburg1553
VfR Neumünster1633

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—TSB Flensburg
—Draws
—VfR Neumünster

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
42% conf. WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
23%
Away
35%
Both Teams to Score
69% conf. CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf. CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf. WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf. CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
37% conf. WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
37%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf. CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf. CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf. CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf. CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf. WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf. CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

Are predictions guaranteed?

No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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