How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC 08 Homburg, at 60.9%. The other outcomes represent 39.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 20.9% · Draw: 18.2% · Away win: 60.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SSV Ulm 1846 1639; FC 08 Homburg 1865. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - SudWest · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
SSV Ulm 1846
Elo 1639
1
-
1
FC 08 Homburg
Elo 1865
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-226
Elo rating comparison
SSV Ulm 18461639
FC 08 Homburg1865
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—SSV Ulm 1846
—Draws
—FC 08 Homburg
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
18%
Away
61%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
38%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.