How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bayern München U19, at 65.4%. The other outcomes represent 34.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 65.4% · Draw: 15.4% · Away win: 19.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bayern München U19 1716; SGV Freiberg Fussball U19 1462. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 8–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Bayern München U19
Elo 1716
8
-
1
SGV Freiberg Fussball U19
Elo 1462
FT
HT 4-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+254
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bayern München U191716
SGV Freiberg Fussball U191462
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Bayern München U19
0Draws
0SGV Freiberg Fussball U19
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
65%
Draw
15%
Away
19%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
31%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.