How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bumamuru, at 63.0%. The other outcomes represent 37.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 63% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 16.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bumamuru 1633; Kayanza United 1490. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue A · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Bumamuru
Elo 1633
1
-
1
Kayanza United
Elo 1490
FT
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+142
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bumamuru1633
Kayanza United1490
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Bumamuru
2Draws
0Kayanza United
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
63%
Draw
21%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
Home
50%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.