How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mukura, at 53.4%. The other outcomes represent 46.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.4% · Draw: 22.9% · Away win: 23.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mukura 1552; Gicumbi 1443. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National Soccer League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Mukura
Elo 1552
1
-
0
Gicumbi
Elo 1443
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+110
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Mukura1552
Gicumbi1443
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mukura
0Draws
4Gicumbi
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
Draw
23%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
42%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.