How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is TSV Hartberg, at 37.6%. The other outcomes represent 62.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.6% · Draw: 29.6% · Away win: 32.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: TSV Hartberg 1921; Wolfsberger AC 1869. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 15:00
TSV Hartberg
Elo 1921
1
-
0
Wolfsberger AC
Elo 1869
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+52
Elo rating comparison
TSV Hartberg1921
Wolfsberger AC1869
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—TSV Hartberg
—Draws
—Wolfsberger AC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
@ 2.38
Draw
30%
@ 3.49
Away
33%
@ 2.69
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.57
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.46
No
36%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.55
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
@ 2.92
Draw
42%
@ 2.25
Away
30%
@ 3.17
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.30
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
87%
@ 1.19
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.68
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.