How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hetman Zamosc, at 39.1%. The other outcomes represent 60.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.1% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 35.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hetman Zamosc 1354; Jarosław 1522. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 4 · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:00
Hetman Zamosc
Elo 1354
1
-
0
Jarosław
Elo 1522
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-169
Elo rating comparison
Hetman Zamosc1354
Jarosław1522
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hetman Zamosc
—Draws
—Jarosław
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
37%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
WRONG
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.