How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Alessandria, at 40.4%. The other outcomes represent 59.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.4% · Draw: 24% · Away win: 35.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alessandria 1454; Biellese 1635. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Alessandria
Elo 1454
2
-
0
Biellese
Elo 1635
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-181
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Alessandria1454
Biellese1635
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Alessandria
0Draws
4Biellese
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
24%
Away
36%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
42%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.