How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Asti, at 45.8%. The other outcomes represent 54.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.8% · Draw: 26.9% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Asti 1479; Borgosesia 1347. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone A · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Asti
Elo 1479
0
-
3
Borgosesia
Elo 1347
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+132
Elo rating comparison
Asti1479
Borgosesia1347
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Asti
—Draws
—Borgosesia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
27%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
42%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.