How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rovato Vertovese, at 55.3%. The other outcomes represent 44.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.4% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 55.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fiorenzuola 1322; Rovato Vertovese 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone B · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Fiorenzuola
Elo 1322
2
-
1
Rovato Vertovese
Elo 1521
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-200
Elo rating comparison
Fiorenzuola1322
Rovato Vertovese1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Fiorenzuola
—Draws
—Rovato Vertovese
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
22%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
19%
Draw
36%
Away
45%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.