How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Altavilla, at 35.3%. The other outcomes represent 64.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 33.2% · Away win: 31.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Altavilla 1541; Luparense 1616. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie D - Girone C · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 13:30
Altavilla
Elo 1541
0
-
0
Luparense
Elo 1616
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-74
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Altavilla1541
Luparense1616
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Altavilla
2Draws
0Luparense
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
33%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.